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持续跟进明康汇公司与我区合作项目积极推动宁夏优质瓜菜进驻杭州市场

【日期】:2018-06-07 15:01:53     【来源】:宁夏商务厅市场体系建设处

一、价格走势分析

商务部城乡生活必需品监测系统数据显示,2016年2月,全区鸡蛋零售价格8.99元/公斤,环比下降0.33%,同比下降8.62%。 

 本期鸡蛋价格走势特点:自2015年11月以来,全区鸡蛋价格止跌上扬,至元月下旬价格涨至新高9.33元/公斤,比拐点价格上涨15.47个百分点;但1月份鸡蛋价格与去年同期相比仍下降9.01%,至2月全区鸡蛋价格开始下行。银南银北蛋价走势与全区价格走势基本相同。据监测数据显示,1月,银川市和吴忠市涨幅较大。其中,银川市鸡蛋价格由月初9.05元/公斤到月末逼近10元/公斤,上涨9.4个百分点,进入2月,蛋价呈现下降态势。

二、主要原因分析

(一)产业调整明显,市场供应偏紧,价格上涨。2015年,我区鸡蛋在前期高蛋价、高产量、高库存等状况下,业内调结构、去库存效果明显,价格冲高回落,下行趋势持续到蛋鸡歇伏期。在市场供小于求、中秋节日效应的共同刺激下,价格呈现短期(10周)止跌上涨态势后继续驶入下行通道。年末受我区寒冷天气影响,养殖户淘汰增多,鸡蛋产量减少,市场供应偏紧,加之2016年元旦、春节的到来,支撑鸡蛋价格上行。

(二)低成本时期,节日效应利好,惜售心态强烈,价格上涨。自去年10月份新玉米上市以来,我区玉米价格大幅下跌。同时,2015年,全球大豆主产区再获丰收,国内豆粕市场供应延续宽松格局,豆粕价格维持低位运行。预计2016年蛋鸡养殖将进入低成本期,加之春节效应的带动作用,养殖户对节日效应期望值较高,惜售心态强烈,鸡蛋价格上行。

(三)年后消费回落,价格随之下降。2月,春节过后,各大批发商、食品加工企业库存充裕,多数居民节前存货尚未消化完毕,鸡蛋消费量回落。加之春季气温回升,本土蛋鸡产蛋量增加,市场供应充足,鸡蛋价格有所回落。

三、后期预测

随着气温逐渐回暖,利好蛋鸡产蛋,加之上游产量的进一步增长,鸡蛋价格受需求端影响明显,预计后期我区鸡蛋价格维持稳中有降态势。

 
get(attachments) failed on instance of com.gcms.cms.entity.main.Content The problematic instruction: ---------- ==> if content.attachments?size gt 0 [on line 74, column 41 in WEB-INF/t/cms/www/red/content/新闻内容.html] ---------- Java backtrace for programmers: ---------- freemarker.template.TemplateModelException: get(attachments) failed on instance of com.gcms.cms.entity.main.Content at freemarker.ext.beans.BeanModel.get(BeanModel.java:223) at freemarker.core.Dot._getAsTemplateModel(Dot.java:76) at freemarker.core.Expression.getAsTemplateModel(Expression.java:89) at freemarker.core.BuiltIn$sizeBI._getAsTemplateModel(BuiltIn.java:628) at freemarker.core.Expression.getAsTemplateModel(Expression.java:89) at freemarker.core.ComparisonExpression.isTrue(ComparisonExpression.java:111) at freemarker.core.ConditionalBlock.accept(ConditionalBlock.java:77) at freemarker.core.Environment.visit(Environment.java:209) at freemarker.core.MixedContent.accept(MixedContent.java:92) at freemarker.core.Environment.visit(Environment.java:209) at freemarker.core.Environment.process(Environment.java:189) at freemarker.template.Template.process(Template.java:237) at com.gcms.common.web.springmvc.SimpleFreeMarkerView.renderMergedTemplateModel(SimpleFreeMarkerView.java:114) at org.springframework.web.servlet.view.AbstractTemplateView.renderMergedOutputModel(AbstractTemplateView.java:167) at org.springframework.web.servlet.view.AbstractView.render(AbstractView.java:250) at org.springframework.web.servlet.DispatcherServlet.render(DispatcherServlet.java:1060) at org.springframework.web.servlet.DispatcherServlet.doDispatch(DispatcherServlet.java:798) at org.springframework.web.servlet.DispatcherServlet.doService(DispatcherServlet.java:716) at org.springframework.web.servlet.FrameworkServlet.processRequest(FrameworkServlet.java:647) at org.springframework.web.servlet.FrameworkServlet.doGet(FrameworkServlet.java:552) at javax.servlet.http.HttpServlet.service(HttpServlet.java:617) at javax.servlet.http.HttpServlet.service(HttpServlet.java:723) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.internalDoFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:290) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.doFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:206) at org.springframework.orm.hibernate3.support.OpenSessionInViewFilter.doFilterInternal(OpenSessionInViewFilter.java:198) at org.springframework.web.filter.OncePerRequestFilter.doFilter(OncePerRequestFilter.java:76) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.internalDoFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:235) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.doFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:206) at org.springframework.web.filter.CharacterEncodingFilter.doFilterInternal(CharacterEncodingFilter.java:88) at org.springframework.web.filter.OncePerRequestFilter.doFilter(OncePerRequestFilter.java:76) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.internalDoFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:235) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.doFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:206) at com.gcms.common.web.ProcessTimeFilter.doFilter(ProcessTimeFilter.java:38) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.internalDoFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:235) at org.apache.catalina.core.ApplicationFilterChain.doFilter(ApplicationFilterChain.java:206) at org.apache.catalina.core.StandardWrapperValve.invoke(StandardWrapperValve.java:233) at org.apache.catalina.core.StandardContextValve.invoke(StandardContextValve.java:191) at org.apache.catalina.core.StandardHostValve.invoke(StandardHostValve.java:127) at org.apache.catalina.valves.ErrorReportValve.invoke(ErrorReportValve.java:103) at org.apache.catalina.valves.AccessLogValve.invoke(AccessLogValve.java:617) at org.apache.catalina.core.StandardEngineValve.invoke(StandardEngineValve.java:109) at org.apache.catalina.connector.CoyoteAdapter.service(CoyoteAdapter.java:293) at org.apache.coyote.http11.Http11AprProcessor.process(Http11AprProcessor.java:876) at org.apache.coyote.http11.Http11AprProtocol$Http11ConnectionHandler.process(Http11AprProtocol.java:612) at org.apache.tomcat.util.net.AprEndpoint$Worker.run(AprEndpoint.java:1777) at java.lang.Thread.run(Thread.java:662) Caused by: org.hibernate.LazyInitializationException: failed to lazily initialize a collection of role: com.gcms.cms.entity.main.Content.attachments, no session or session was closed at org.hibernate.collection.AbstractPersistentCollection.throwLazyInitializationException(AbstractPersistentCollection.java:358) at org.hibernate.collection.AbstractPersistentCollection.throwLazyInitializationExceptionIfNotConnected(AbstractPersistentCollection.java:350) at org.hibernate.collection.AbstractPersistentCollection.initialize(AbstractPersistentCollection.java:343) at org.hibernate.collection.AbstractPersistentCollection.read(AbstractPersistentCollection.java:86) at org.hibernate.collection.PersistentList.toArray(PersistentList.java:123) at java.util.ArrayList.(ArrayList.java:131) at freemarker.template.SimpleSequence.(SimpleSequence.java:162) at freemarker.template.DefaultObjectWrapper.wrap(DefaultObjectWrapper.java:117) at freemarker.ext.beans.BeansWrapper.invokeMethod(BeansWrapper.java:841) at freemarker.ext.beans.BeanModel.invokeThroughDescriptor(BeanModel.java:276) at freemarker.ext.beans.BeanModel.get(BeanModel.java:183) ... 45 more